What is Sectoral Rotation?
Sectoral rotation refers to the shift of investment from one sector to another by investors It is driven by changes in:
- Economic cycle
- Interest rates and monetary policy
- Corporate earnings outlook
- Global developments and risk perception
Objective:
- To maximize returns
- To manage and diversify risk
How is Sectoral Rotation seen in the Indian Stock Market?
1. Based on the Economic Cycle
- During economic expansion:
- Banking
- Infrastructure
- Capital goods
- Automobiles
- During slowdown or uncertainty:
- IT
- FMCG
- Pharmaceuticals
- Healthcare
2. Influence of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
- When interest rates fall:
- Real estate
- Automobiles benefit
- When interest rates rise:
- Banking and NBFCs face pressure
- Investors move towards defensive sectors
3. Impact of Global Cues and Currency Movement
Strong US dollar:
- Benefits IT and pharma (export-oriented sectors)
- Rising crude oil or commodity prices:
- Affects metals and energy-intensive sectors
4. Role of Government Policies
Budget announcements, PLI schemes, and infrastructure push
→ Lead to investment flows into specific sectors
Regulatory or tax changes
→ Cause sector-specific gains or losses