Pakistan is placing significant emphasis on the export of its JF-17 Thunder fighter jets, with its Defence Minister, Khawaja Asif, suggesting that a surge in international orders could potentially reduce the country's reliance on International Monetary Fund (IMF) loans within six months.
Pakistan is currently operating under its 24th IMF program, a 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) approved in September 2024, amounting to approximately $7 billion. This program aims to stabilize the economy through reforms in public finances, monetary policy, and structural adjustments.
The JF-17 Thunder, a multi-role fighter aircraft, is a joint venture between Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) and China's Chengdu Aircraft Corporation (CAC), with Pakistan manufacturing 58% of the airframe. The aircraft's combat performance, particularly during a May 2025 conflict with India, has reportedly boosted its international marketability.
Pakistan has secured notable export agreements for the JF-17. These include a $4 billion deal with the Libyan National Army for 16 JF-17s and 12 Super Mushak trainer aircraft. Discussions are also underway with Saudi Arabia to convert approximately $2 billion in Saudi loans into a JF-17 procurement deal, which could expand to a $4 billion package encompassing jets, weapons, training, and support.
Myanmar and Nigeria are already operators of the JF-17, and Azerbaijan placed an order for 16 jets in February 2024. Bangladesh is also reportedly in talks for potential acquisition.
Furthermore, at IDEAS 2024, Pakistan signed 82 Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) for defense exports, including fighter jets, with a potential value of $30 billion in the coming years, aiming for $20 billion in annual defense export revenue by 2030. However, the assertion that JF-17 exports could soon eliminate the need for IMF assistance has met with skepticism from some analysts.
Concerns have been raised regarding Pakistan's actual revenue share from JF-17 sales, given that 42% of the airframe is produced in China and revenues are shared. Additionally, the JF-17 relies on a Russian-made engine and other foreign components.
Analysts also point out that converting MoUs into concrete export orders can be a lengthy process involving testing and modifications. There are also potential geopolitical and legal complexities, particularly concerning arms sales to regions experiencing conflict, which could affect Pakistan's relations with Western partners.